A national poll has predicted that two Conservative seats in Dorset could be lost in the upcoming election.

YouGov's first MRP projection of the 2024 general election campaign shows that if the county were voting tomorrow, Labour would win South Dorset, and Lib Dems win West Dorset.

This would mean that Dorset MPs Richard Drax and Chris Loder, would both lose their seats.

The poll has predicted a 'tossup' between Labour and Conservatives in South Dorset, with Conservatives predicted to get 33 per cent of the vote with Labour predicted to get 34 per cent, in a marginal win.

Meanwhile, West Dorset has been described by YouGov as being a 'likely win' for Lib Dems, if these trends were to be repeated in the election. The poll showed that Lib Dems were polling at 44 per cent, far ahead of the conservative share of 30 per cent.

A spokesperson for YouGov said: "The model, which uses survey data from almost 60,000 respondents, is designed to tell us what would happen if the general election were happening right now, with people’s vote intention (or lack of) as it currently stands.

"It is not a forecast but is designed to give a detailed, seat-by-seat look at the British political landscape as we head toward July 4."

Bridport and Lyme Regis News:

The poll shows Conservatives losing 32 of its seats across the South West region. 

Labour would be the biggest winner in the region, increasing its number of seats from seven to 24, and becoming the largest party in the South West.

Jacob Rees-Mogg, former Secretary of State for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, in the North East Somerset and Hanham constituency, would be among the casualties. 

Labour isn’t the only winner in the region. The Liberal Democrats, who won no seats in the South West in 2019, is set to take 14 from the Conservatives including Thornbury and Yate, Torbay and South Devon.

Nationally, Labour is projected to secure a landslide victory, increasing its number of seats from 202 in 2019 to 422 in 2024.

The Conservatives are set to suffer significant defeats, securing just 140 seats across the country. This would be the fewest number of Conservative MPs since 1906.

It also projects that the Scottish National Party would lose more than half their seats, with Labour returning as the largest party north of the border.

The Liberal Democrats would supplant the SNP as the third party of British politics, taking back that particular crown for the first time since 2010.